Recursive Reflection Theory
A new theory of how people revise political beliefs by evaluating their own explanatory frameworks.
Recursive Reflection Theory proposes that political belief revision occurs not because people simply encounter new information, but because they recursively evaluate the explanations supporting their own beliefs. Belief change begins when individuals conclude that their existing explanatory framework is no longer an acceptable account of why they hold the position they do.
To investigate this process, I combine experimental political discussion, AI-mediated conversations, and transcript-based measurement to observe explanatory frameworks as they reorganize in real time. Together, these studies suggest that interventions traditionally understood as persuasion may instead work by prompting citizens to re-evaluate the adequacy of their own explanations rather than by simply transmitting new political beliefs.